Calculator
Pick Record Profit Calculator
Estimate net units, total risk, ROI, and average profit per pick from a completed record at one average price and flat risk.
Formula used
Net units = wins x to-win units - losses x risk units. Total risk = all completed picks x flat risk. Push profit = 0.
Worked example
At -110 with 6 wins, 4 losses, 1 push, and 1u risk per pick: net +1.45u, 11u risk, +13.22% ROI, and +0.13u per pick.
When this calculator helps
Use this calculator for a quick flat-risk estimate when you know wins, losses, pushes, one average American price, and one risk amount per pick. It can help illustrate how average price changes unit profit even when win-loss counts stay the same.
Do not use the estimate as a replacement for an individual pick ledger when odds or stakes vary materially. The PickProof record calculates each immutable confirmed price, risk, and grade separately.
Understanding the result
This is a compact estimate for a flat-risk record. Pushes count in the completed sample and total units risked because the selection was recorded and graded, while their net profit remains zero.
Net units combine estimated profit from wins with the full risk lost on losses. Total risk includes every completed selection, including pushes under the public calculator convention. Average profit per pick spreads the net result across the full completed sample.
A positive estimate can still conceal large price variation or drawdown. Review the actual record, average odds, sample size, and unit history before comparing users.
Before relying on the output
- Wins, losses, and pushes all included
- Flat risk applied consistently
- Average odds understood as an estimate
Common mistakes
- Using average odds for a record whose prices vary widely and treating the estimate as exact.
- Excluding losses or pushes from the completed record.
- Mixing risk-one and win-one staking conventions.
Limitations
- A single average price cannot reproduce every varied-price record exactly.
- The calculator assumes identical risk units for each completed pick.
- Official PickProof records use the immutable price, units, and grade of each individual pick.
Frequently asked questions
Why do pushes count in total risk?
The risk was recorded for the completed selection and returned; it adds zero profit but remains part of the tracked volume.
Is this the same as a PickProof ledger?
No. It is an estimate. A PickProof record calculates each immutable pick individually.
Related PickProof resources
Track the complete record
Use PickProof to record confirmed picks, preserve verification receipts, and review units, ROI, and eligible public history from the underlying pick ledger. Read the methodology to see how the product separates immutable confirmation, grading, and closing data.
Open PickProofThese calculators are informational recordkeeping tools. They do not place wagers, accept deposits, pay winnings, provide betting credits, or guarantee performance. Odds, scores, grading, line movement, CLV, ROI, and records may be delayed, incomplete, corrected, or unavailable. Verify independently before using information outside PickProof.