PickProof Methodology

1. Confirmation and immutable fields

A pick is confirmed with its sport, event identity, listed start, market, side or selection, point when applicable, American odds, sportsbook label, unit size, risk units, target-win units, and confirmation timestamp. Event identity uses more than team names when needed because consecutive games and doubleheaders can repeat the same participants.

The confirmed fields are not replaced with a later price or rewritten after the result. Closing information and grades are attached separately. A receipt can therefore show both what was originally confirmed and what became known later.

2. Complete records and corrections

Confirmed wins, losses, pushes, and void-equivalent outcomes remain part of the record. A user cannot delete a confirmed miss merely to improve displayed performance. PickProof can apply a legitimate correction when an authoritative event state, score, market result, or grading input changes. The correction changes the derived grade while preserving the original confirmation.

Postponed and canceled are event states, not ordinary wins or losses. Where the applicable result is push or void-equivalent, unit profit is zero. The record still explains that the pick existed and why it did not produce a win or loss.

3. Units, profit, and ROI

On a win, profit uses the recorded to-win units. On a loss, profit is negative recorded risk units. A push contributes zero profit. Positive American odds convert risk to profit as risk multiplied by odds divided by 100. Negative odds convert risk to profit as risk multiplied by 100 divided by the absolute price.

ROI equals net graded profit units divided by total graded risk units, multiplied by 100. PickProof includes the recorded risk for completed pushes in the public calculator denominator because that risk was part of the completed tracked selection and was returned. The convention is disclosed so another person can reproduce the result.

4. Closing line value

CLV is attached only after a qualified closing capture exists. It is separate from the final pick result. For the simple selected-price moneyline measure, the selected closing American odds are converted to closing break-even probability and combined with the immutable confirmed decimal odds: ((closing break-even probability x confirmed decimal odds) - 1) x 100.

Spread and total CLV cannot be reduced to line subtraction. PickProof uses market, point, price, and push-aware context because moving from a half number to a whole number can introduce a nonzero push probability. When a reliable closing capture is unavailable, CLV remains unavailable rather than being inferred from a score.

5. Public eligibility and privacy

Public projection requires a normal account and a currently eligible public resource. Demo and internal accounts are excluded. Private picks, delayed-unrevealed picks, deleted or restricted resources, and the legacy public-after-final state are not exposed through pages, lookup, caches, analytics, or sitemaps. Unavailable responses are generic so the cause cannot be used to discover hidden data.

A public profile summarizes only eligible public picks. It should not be read as proof that no private history exists. Username changes do not create identity-linking redirects from an old public URL.

6. Leaderboard qualification

Short-window boards require at least 10 graded decisions. All-time, sport, and market boards require at least 25. CLV boards require at least 25 valid closes. Each board provides its period, primary metric, qualification, tie-break order, row limit, and generated time. Empty or underqualified boards are omitted.

Most Consistent uses the existing documented LBCI formula: a 95% Wilson lower-bound win rate minus average confirmed-odds break-even rate, with the sample floor applied before ranking. Most Improved is omitted because no approved reproducible public method is published.

7. Data limits

Scores, odds, event status, grades, and closing lines can be delayed, incomplete, corrected, or unavailable. A sportsbook label identifies the recorded source context; it is not an endorsement. PickProof does not place wagers, hold funds, provide credits, or guarantee results.

For questions about a specific page, retain its URL and use the Support link. Corrections are reviewed against implemented behavior and the relevant source contract rather than silently changing the published explanation.